By John Chisholm
What is revenue?
Simple. The money we get from
circulation, advertising, the Internet and, of course, from the myriad
value-added services and products launched on the back of our brands.
Easy. That’s revenue.
And costs?
Well, there’s newsprint -
always too expensive. Production costs - a noun, verb and conclusion all in one
sentence.
Labor? Ten percent below last
year. Editorial. Subject to witchcraft. Marketing? Never enough. And don’t
forget overhead, which none of us are allowed to question because this is code
for the accounting department.
Add the costs up. Subtract
them from the revenue. And that leaves profit. Everyone knows that running a
good business is about keeping the costs below the revenues, and these days
keeping your job is also about ensuring revenues grow while costs fall.
Or something like that.
Dichotomy
I was reminded of this
recently when talking to a colleague whose bosses - the big corporate bosses;
not the local ones - had asked him to cut ad department costs. Since his only
costs were sales staff, the ax had to fall. We need the money, went the
argument, and in a swing of the scalpel so went any chances of a Nobel Prize in
economics.
I rarely visit a newspaper
that has enough sales staff.
The problem is that these
architects of profit and loss simply don’t understand the business. It’s really
quite simple: Revenue. Costs. Revenue. Costs. Revenue. Costs. Revenue. Costs.
What really matters is the
cost of the revenue, and after deducting that cost, what remains pays for the
rest of the business.
One practice, one I learned
from the Swedes, is to structure the P&L in such a way that sales costs are
removed to produce a net revenue figure.
In the case of circulation, we
deduct distribution, marketing, commissions and the cost of circulation staff.
In advertising we deduct sales costs, bonuses, marketing costs and creative
costs.
Benchmarks show that on
average newspapers are left with around a third of their circulation revenue
after costs are deducted.
In the case of European
subscription newspapers, this figure is around 18 percent. In other countries,
particularly in the United States where churn levels are high and subscription
rates are low, costs can exceed revenues.
This is acceptable because
these papers make up the difference from advertising, but it does raise the
question of whether free distribution might be more effective.
The real costs
Since newspapers are also
relatively price elastic, changes in price have an impact on circulation (the
rule is a 2 percent rise causes a 1 percent decline), so if the circulation
costs are largely fixed, the revenue benefit of a subscription price hike is
quickly erased.
Advertising revenues, on the
other hand, are what pay the wages. On average, 85 percent of ad revenues remain
after costs are removed. I have a saying that circulation is vanity, but
advertising is sanity. The editor might be very proud of the circulation, but
the advertising department pays for the car he drives.
Newspaper business managers
are generally charged with achieving some basic numbers, whether it’s from
advertising revenue or circulation volume.
They are rarely charged with
delivering gross profitability from their activities. In other industries,
managers have more leeway to decide on the most appropriate way to maximize
their contribution to the company.
This often includes decisions
on staffing levels. We have become so obsessed with head counts, labor
contingent, FTEs (full time equivalents - notice how they’re never called
people!), that we are often cutting effectiveness in the name of efficiency and
economy.
Restructuring the P&L to track
net contribution over time makes for a far more strategic overview of the
business. It enables managers to make better decisions, and for their managers
to realize the impact of broad strategies.
Cause and effect
It also permits more
interesting analyses of cause and effect.
Let’s revisit what happens
when subscription rates are increased. Because the negative impact on
circulation is half that of increasing rates, then a boost in prices should
bring in more money.
This is hilariously naive. In
many markets, a major reason for newspapers losing share of advertising is that
their circulations are declining.
There is a strong, direct
correlation between declining circulation and falling market share.
Very often (I won’t say
always), the revenues gained from a cover price increase are more than lost in
the consequential loss in advertising share. But few newspapers are armed with
the means to track such consequences. So prices keep going up, and advertising
share keeps falling.
Such an approach to
management reporting works across other areas of the business as well. At risk
of starting a maelstrom of hatred, I would argue that such an approach can be
equally applied to the newsroom. (Don’t shoot me. Don’t shoot me.) Every
argument with the editor about efficiency is seen as an attack on quality.
If I were to concede on this
point, I would have to admit that every editorial department on earth is
understaffed and that the only route to true perfection in the newsroom is
through the employment of every literate person on earth as a journalist, with
the illiterate ones working on the sports desk.
Lack of proof
The problem is lack of
evidence. Faced with only subjective opinions about costs and quality, it is
inevitable that arguments ensue.
Editors are absolutely correct
to fight their corner for quality and resources. I wouldn’t respect an editor
who didn’t. And since few publishers actually track the relative benefits of one
workflow method over another, they are not armed with objective rationales to
track resources.
The point is that we have the
means to track performance measurements in terms of economy, efficiency and
effectiveness.
But we need to know whether
what we are measuring is appropriate to steer the business forward.
That we choose the wrong
measures as far as advertising and circulation is concerned, and that we don’t
measure editorial at all, is a conscious decision.
But that doesn’t mean we can’t
change course and adjust accordingly.
There is an old joke about not
letting facts get in the way of an argument. I would contend that if we are
armed with more facts we’d argue a lot less and achieve a lot more.
Jim
Chisholm is joint principal of iMedia, Ifra’s joint venture advisory service. He
can be reached at
jim.Chisholm@imediaadvisory.com.