Well,
they certainly got the “March comes in like a lion” part right.
Consider
what happened during the first few weeks of last month.
One
press vendor finds out it may again be put under a government microscope for
actions that occurred 10 years ago.
A
major newspaper group disappears, in the process leaving in the lurch such
storied flags as The Philadelphia Inquirer and San Jose (Calif.) Mercury News.
The
majority of another vendor is sold by its parent company to a private equity
firm that intends to spin off the supplier as an independent company in three or
four years’ time.
The
consequences of what ultimately may lie ahead for TKS, the 12 papers McClatchy
Co. said it didn’t want in its $4.5 billion purchase of Knight Ridder Inc. and
MAN Roland, respectively, are too early to predict, but if this much upheaval
can occur in less than three weeks, what’s the rest of 2006 going to bring to
the newspaper industry?
In
each of these cases, the companies are paying for the sins of the past.
TKS
is under regulatory scrutiny for selling presses at below-market rates to The
Dallas Morning News a decade ago. Knight Ridder fell into trouble because its
largest shareholder was dissatisfied with the group’s recent double-digit
margin financial performance. And MAN Roland? Although the vendor said last year
yielded record revenues and orders, its parent company is under pressure to
stick to its core businesses and reduce its investment in web and offset
printing.
TKS,
MAN Roland and the Orphan 12 are hardly alone. The last 12 months have seen
changes envelope such vendors as Flint Ink, US Ink, GMA Inc. and Newstec, among
others, as they wrestle with consolidation and changes in the executive suite.
And
we certainly don’t have to dredge up the challenges newspapers are facing. If
they’re not cutting stock and TV pages, they’re trimming somewhere else.
Of
course, every supplier and every newspaper has to accommodate the market’s
ever-changing demands in order to survive.
It’s
never easy; and as our Page One story on the price squeeze now constricting
certain segments of the marketplace indicates, it doesn’t appear that it will
get any easier any time soon.
Will
the temblors rocking the industry today make for stronger and more vibrant
suppliers? Or are the changes we’re seeing now reflective of an industry
that’s in the early stages of a terminal decline?
My
crystal ball, unfortunately, is not that clairvoyant.